Sunday, July 19, 2009

2010 Senate Race

Democrat Incumbents (Need To Go)

Arkansas - Blanche Lincoln vs. Kim Hendren
California - Barbara Boxer vs. Chuck DeVore Al Ramirez
Colorado - Michael Bennet vs. Ken Buck Cleve Tidwell Ryan Frazier
Connecticut - Chris Dodd vs. Sam Caligiuri Tom Foley Rob Simmons
Delaware - Ted Kaufman vs. Christine O'Donnell
Hawaii - No Challengers
Illinois - Roland Burris vs. Andy Martin (Martin Questioned Obama's Birthplace) Robert Zadek
Indiana - Evan Bayh vs. Don Bates, Jr.
Maryland - No Challengers
Nevada - Harry Reid vs. Robin L. Titus
New York - No Challenger
New York - No Republican Challengers
North Dakota - Byron Dorgan vs. Duane Sand
Oregon - No Republican Challengers
Pennsylvania - Arlen Specter vs. Peg Luksik
Larry Murphy
Pat Toomey
Robert Townsend
Vermont - Independent opponent
Washington - Patty Murray vs. Wayne Glover Sean Salazar
Wisconsin - No Opponent



I think the Republicans are likely to win in -
Arkansas
Colorado
Delaware
Pennsylvania

Toss ups -
Washington
Wisconsin

These are early predictions, and it's looking good for the Republicans.



To take the majority we have to win 10 seats and lose none.

The following are considered safe Democrats - Indiana, Maryland, New York, Oregon, Vermont and Washington.

The current leaning Democrat states are -
California, Nevada, Colorado, Pennsylvania

Don't Worry will get Penn. They voted for Arlen when he was a Republican, but they won't vote for him now.


The following are considered safe Republicans -
Alabama, Alaska, Idaho, and Utah.

My calculations show that if the elections were today we could take 9 seats. That's just one seat shy of taking the majority back. I really think we can take the majority. Lets get this right this time!





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